Colgate
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 92.6240Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Penn State B10 ( 6- 4, 98.8) 14-18 208 A Virginia ACC ( 7- 4, 97.5) 14-19 214 A Hobart A10 ( 2- 8, 88.2) 7- 6 217 A Harvard IVY ( 9- 1, 96.6) 8-17 228 H Loyola PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 93.4) 11-13 307 A Holy Cross PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 89.5) 10-11 314 A Bucknell PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 91.5) 12-14 321 H Boston Univ PATRIOT ( 5- 5, 94.2) 14-12 328 A Navy PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 94.1) 16-15 404 H Lafayette PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 90.4) 11- 8 410 H Lehigh PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 93.7) 418 A Syracuse ACC ( 9- 3, 98.2) 424 A Army PATRIOT ( 8- 3, 96.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Penn State 14-18 -4 -8 + 3.00
208 A Virginia 14-19 -5 -6 1.39
214 A Hobart 7- 6 1 3 -1.91
217 A Harvard 8-17 -9 -6 -1.50
228 H Loyola 11-13 -2 1 - -2.82
307 A Holy Cross 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61
314 A Bucknell 12-14 -2 0 -1.57
321 H Boston Univ 14-12 2 0 + 2.04
328 A Navy 16-15 1 -3 ++ 4.03
404 H Lafayette 11- 8 3 4 -0.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Loyola 11-13 -2 1 - -2.82 307 A Holy Cross 10-11 -1 2 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Navy 16-15 1 -3 ++ 4.03 201 A Penn State 14-18 -4 -8 + 3.00 321 H Boston Univ 14-12 2 0 + 2.04 |
Colgate Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Colgate | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Albany | Albany | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Albany | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Binghamton | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Boston Univ | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Brown | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Bryant | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Canisius | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Cleveland State | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Dartmouth | |
| Delaware | Colgate | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Drexel | Colgate | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Fairfield | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgetown | |
| Hampton | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Hobart | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Hofstra | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Iona | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Colgate | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lafayette | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Le Moyne | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Colgate | |
| Lehigh | Lehigh | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Lehigh | |
| LIU | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Loyola | Loyola | Loyola | ||
| Manhattan | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Marist | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Marquette | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| UMassLowell | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Mercer | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Mercyhurst | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Merrimack | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Michigan | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Monmouth | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Mt St Marys | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Navy | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| NJIT | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pennsylvania | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Princeton | |
| Providence | Colgate | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Colgate | |
| Queens | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Quinnipiac | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Richmond | |
| Robert Morris | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Colgate | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | Colgate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Siena | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| St Bonnies | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| St Johns | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| St Josephs | St Josephs | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Josephs | |
| Stony Brook | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Syracuse | |
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Towson | |
| UMBC | Colgate | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Utah | |
| Vermont | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| VMI | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgate | |
| Wagner | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Yale |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Penn State ( 6- 4, 98.8) 14-18 -1.11 20.19 1.55 1.04 -0.23
0 A Virginia ( 7- 4, 97.5) 14-19 -2.43 18.87 1.55 1.04 -0.46
0 A Hobart ( 2- 8, 88.2) 7- 6 -11.74 9.56 1.55 1.04 23.02
0 A Harvard ( 9- 1, 96.6) 8-17 -3.32 17.97 1.55 1.04 -0.92
0 H Loyola ( 7- 4, 93.4) 11-13 -6.55 14.75 -1.55 1.04 -4.20
0 A Holy Cross ( 5- 6, 89.5) 10-11 -10.43 10.87 1.55 1.04 -4.60
0 A Bucknell ( 7- 4, 91.5) 12-14 -8.39 12.90 1.55 1.04 -3.55
0 H Boston Univ ( 5- 5, 94.2) 14-12 -5.68 15.61 -1.55 1.04 29.15
0 A Navy ( 7- 4, 94.1) 16-15 -5.80 15.50 1.55 1.04 35.34
0 H Lafayette ( 5- 6, 90.4) 11- 8 -9.50 11.79 -1.55 1.04 21.24
------
94.80
|
winning pts = 108.7499 losing points = -13.9497
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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